Emerging Technology
How can we shape the frontier of technological development and deployment?
Recent developments in emerging technologies have revealed there might be cracks in the Great Stagnation. Between clean energy that’s too cheap to meter, autonomous drone deliveries to your doorstep, and novel cures to deadly diseases, a world of abundance could be within reach — but we need to get the policy framework for their deployment right. Technology exhibits a great degree of path dependence, and we need to ensure that these systems are compatible with liberal democracy and don’t enable authoritarianism.
Featured Publication
Emerging Technology
When Do More AI Chips for China Mean Fewer for the United States?
Assessing whether NVIDIA H200 production for China would divert chips for US customers based on AI chip supply constraints
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Emerging Technology
Featured Publication
When Do More AI Chips for China Mean Fewer for the United States?
Assessing whether NVIDIA H200 production for China would divert chips for US customers based on AI chip supply constraints
Read the full report
Emerging Technology Research Team
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Emerging Technology
Fast and Secure Grid Interconnection for American AI Leadership
IFP’s comments on FERC’s proposed rules for “large loads” like AI data centers
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Emerging Technology
America’s AI Exports Program
Strategic goals and implementation recommendations for US policymakers
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Emerging Technology
Request for Proposals: The Launch Sequence
Apply to our rolling effort to find, scope, and build the most important projects to prepare the world for advanced AI
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Emerging Technology Research Team
Emerging Technology
Should the US Sell Hopper Chips to China?
Assessing the impacts of exporting the H200 or H100 AI chips
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Emerging Technology
Should the US Sell Blackwell Chips to China?
Assessing the impacts of exporting the NVIDIA B30A AI chip
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Emerging Technology
How to Implement an Operation Warp Speed for Rare Earths
A coordinated, whole-of-government effort to secure America’s rare earth supply chain
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Emerging Technology
Unlocking a Million Times More Data for AI
How a new ARPANET-style program could solve the data accessibility problem
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Emerging Technology
Preparing for Launch
An introduction to The Launch Sequence: Why shaping AI progress matters, and how to go about it
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Emerging Technology
Teaching AI How Science Actually Works
How block-grant labs can generate the real-world data AI needs to do science
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Emerging Technology
Using X-Labs to Unleash AI-Driven Scientific Breakthroughs
How to adapt our science funding mechanisms to the unique infrastructure needs of large-scale AI projects
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Emerging Technology
The Replication Engine
How to build automated replication infrastructure for better, faster science
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Emerging Technology
Benchmarking for Breakthroughs
How to incentivize AI for national priorities through a strategic challenge and evaluations program
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Emerging Technology
Scaling Materials Discovery with Self-Driving Labs
How to close the gap between AI-guided material design and real-world validation
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Emerging Technology
A Million-Peptide Database to Defeat Antibiotic Resistance
How to build a large peptides database to train the AlphaFold for new antibiotics
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Emerging Technology
Faster AI Diffusion Through Hardware-Based Verification
How to use privacy-preserving verification in the AI hardware stack to build trust and limit misuse
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